BlogDiario.info
Argentina, 10/07/2025
A 5.2% growth in 2025? 4.3% in 2026? Inflation dropping to 15%? And the reserves… breathing through an IMF oxygen tank?
Come on, folks! If this isn’t fried air, then what is?
According to the OECD, Argentina is supposed to leap from economic ICU straight into a fiscal wellness spa, based on a forecast that, respectfully, sounds more like diplomatic optimism than grounded analysis. It’s true: the economy shrank by 6% in the first half of 2024. A slap still echoing through the job market, industry, household spending—and retirees’ stomachs.
And now suddenly everything’s blooming? Well, it depends what fertilizer you’re sniffing.
International analysts cheer the falling inflation. Of course! If consumption is frozen, credit is dried up, poverty is rising, and people can’t even afford onions, obviously prices slow down. But that’s not stability—it’s controlled suffocation.
The reserves are up… yes, but only thanks to the IMF. Of the $20 billion in the new deal, $12 billion have already landed. And with that kind of cash, even a shattered piggy bank sounds impressive. But don’t shake it too hard—it still rings hollow.
The OECD, like other global bodies, has to publish hopeful reports. But that doesn’t mean hope translates into reality. Especially when the economic model leans more on faith than on factories.
Argentines have long learned that PowerPoints can’t be eaten, and IMF Excel sheets always arrive late—especially at the local grocer.
Fried air? Maybe. But served with parsley, colorful graphs, and promises that—if everything goes perfectly, if nobody moves, if there’s no drought, no global crisis, and no late-night presidential rants—might seem almost believable.
But let’s not kid ourselves: without a real production plan, real investment, sensible foreign policy, and at least a shred of political stability, not even the OECD, the IMF, or the Chinese horoscope will pull us out of this swamp.
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